VA ies o SANDIA REPORT SAND92— 1382 « UC—721 Unlimited Release Printed November 1993 Expert Judgment on Markers to Deter Inadvertent Human Intrusion into the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Kathleen M. Trauth, Stephen C. Hora, Robert V. Guzowski Prepared by Sandia Nationa! Laboratories Albuquerque, New Mexico 87185 and Livermore, California 94550 for the United States Department of Energy under Contract DE-AC04-94AL85000 te et } i cue al Uh i \ i ity alt mk i ey ae si i ini al aati ll | it i i ate {gg Ruaee tft | thy : mo ft ih ae a: Nts: i 9 | ey al . 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Guzowski2 Sandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM 87185 ABSTRACT Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) convened an expert panel to develop design characteristics for permanent markers and to judge the efficacy of the markers in deterring inadvertent human intrusion in the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). The WIPP, located in southeastern New Mexico, is de- signed to demonstrate the safe disposal of transuranic (TRU) radioactive wastes generated by the United States Department of Energy (DOE) defense programs. The DOE must evaluate WIPP compliance with the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulation Environmental Standards for the Management and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and Transuranic Radioactive Wastes (40 CFR Part 191, Subpart B); this EPA regulation requires: "Disposal sites shall be designated by the most permanent ‘markers, records, and other passive institutional controls practicable to indicate the dangers of the wastes and their location" (Federal Register 50: 38086c). The period of regulatory concern is 10,000 years. The expert panel identified basic principles to guide current and future marker development efforts: (1) the site must be marked, (2) message(s) must be truthful and informative, (3) multiple components within a marker system, (4) multiple means of communication (e.g., Language, pictographs, scientific diagrams), (5) multiple levels of complexitiy within individual messages on individual marker system elements, (6) use of materials with little recycle value, and (7) international effort to maintain knowledge of the locations and contents of nuclear waste repositories. The efficacy of the markers in deterring inadvertent human intrusion was estimated to decrease with time, with the probability function varying with the mode of intrusion (who is intruding and for what purpose) and the level of technological development of the society. The development of a permanent, passive marker system capable of surviving and remaining interpretable for 10,000 years will require further study prior to implementation. 1 University of Hawaii at Hilo 8 .@ ‘ 2 Science Applications International Corporation i no NUS THIS DOCUMENT BS LENE Stem nnn At! Vel ore an ere ee SIRS cans ADs nO stk a ti in a Ste a eee te arora ees BAe re Neen che Die ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors wish to thank the individuals who served on the Marker Development Panel. * Team A. Dieter G. Ast (Cornell University), Michael Brill (Buffalo Organization for Social and Technological Innovation, Inc.), Maureen F. Kaplan (Eastern Research Group, Inc.), Ward H. Goodenough (University of Pennsylvania), Frederick J. Newmeyer (University of Washington), and Woodruff T. Sullivan, III (University of Washington). * YJTeam B. Victor R. Baker (University of Arizona), Frank D. Drake (University of California at Santa Cruz), Ben R. Finney (University of Hawaii at Manoa), David B. Givens (American Anthropological Association), Jon Lomberg (independent artist, designer, and writer), Louis Narens (University of California at Irvine), and Wendell Williams (Case Western Reserve University). Thanks go to members of the Futures Panel who discussed their team’s efforts and recommendations with the Markers panel--Michael Baram (Boston Team), Martin Pasqualetti (Southwest Team), Dan Reicher (Washington A Team), and Maris Vinovskis (Washington B Team). Thanks also go to the Sandia Staff who presented material to the experts--D. Richard Anderson (6342), Marilyn Gruebel (Tech Reps, Inc.), Peter Swift (6342), and Wendell Weart (6303). Virginia Gilliland and Molly Minahan (Technical Writers), Debbie Marchand and Hawaii Olmstead (Illustrations), Susan Gill (Technical Editor), Steve Tullar (Production), and Debra Rivard and the Word Processing Department of Tech Reps, Inc. provided support in conducting the meetings and documenting the results. The authors would also like to thank the technical reviewers, Marilyn Gruebel (Tech Reps, Inc.) and Erik Webb (6331) for their useful comments. = He PREFACE This’ SAND report was prepared from information presented by a panel of experts expressing judgments about the design and efficacy of markers to deter inadvertent human intrusion into the Waste [Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). Appendices F and G were written by the panelists. The authors consolidated and utilized these appendices in preparing the body of the report. The individual reports are reprinted as received by the project coordinator except for (1) correcting typographical errors, (2) editing for internal format consistency, (3) renumbering, repositioning, and captioning figures, (4) updating the table of contents to be in line with the previous changes, and (5) changing the text in accordance with answers to a number of questions that were addressed to the individual teams about their reports as written. The members of the expert panel reviewed a draft copy of the report and the updated versions of Appendices F and G, and responded to the questions provided. The panel of experts made their judgments based on current (as of November 1991) information from disciplines pertinent to markers and about the WIPP Project itself. A final decision on marker system design and placement will be based on all information that is available to the WIPP Project at the time the decision is made. Fs Rs = 3 4 CONTENTS EN TRODUCTLON MG crave rt evoterexceersrsyar sls totcic in, teeyeretesone ne see srecsr toot yets ceyerereretsustera rete 1-1 1.1 Regulatory Requirement for MarkersS................ cee eeeeees 1-5 WP (BAC Ie OU serie sie eh ahaa aoe ale ngs ovis fas eda erarnre Wy snap ere wvorsions, eS oeahe gare 1-8 1921 Purare-Socleticss aneurin eae pero 1-8 l2 2a MarkersDevelopmentinnercr tai ene renee 1-11 eS ePULDOSESsO Le Chem SCUGY