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    "AE~GMM@0.01": {
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     "q_B": {
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      "ci95_seeds": [
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      "seed_values": [
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     "q_AB": {
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      "ci95_seeds": [
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      "seed_values": [
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     "delta_miss": {
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      "ci95_seeds": [
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      "seed_values": [
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     "phi": {
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      "seed_values": [
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    },
    "VAE~GMM@0.01": {
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      "ci95_seeds": [
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      "seed_values": [
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     "q_B": {
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      "ci95_seeds": [
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      "seed_values": [
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     "q_AB": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     "delta_miss": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     "phi": {
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      "seed_values": [
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    "AE~VAE@0.001": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     },
     "q_B": {
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     "q_AB": {
      "mean": 0.9983,
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      "seed_values": [
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     "delta_miss": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     "phi": {
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     "q_B": {
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     "q_AB": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     "delta_miss": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     "phi": {
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      "seed_values": [
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    "VAE~GMM@0.001": {
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     "q_B": {
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     "q_AB": {
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     },
     "delta_miss": {
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      "seed_values": [
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     },
     "phi": {
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      "seed_values": [
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   }
  },
  "T2": {
   "constituents": {
    "complexity": {
     "qcd": {
      "participation_ratio_pooled_basis": 11.492,
      "zlib_len_common_map": 122.72,
      "mean_pc1": -2.3072
     },
     "top": {
      "participation_ratio_pooled_basis": 33.315,
      "zlib_len_common_map": 130.55,
      "mean_pc1": 2.3072
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    },
    "separation": {
     "qcd~top": {
      "wasserstein1_top10pc": 0.8023,
      "delta_complexity_PR": 21.823,
      "delta_complexity_zlib": 7.83
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    },
    "axis_resolves": true
   },
   "lhco7": {
    "complexity": {
     "bkg": {
      "participation_ratio_pooled_basis": 6.121,
      "zlib_len_common_map": 15.0,
      "mean_pc1": -1.4062
     },
     "2prong": {
      "participation_ratio_pooled_basis": 5.898,
      "zlib_len_common_map": 15.0,
      "mean_pc1": 0.8028
     },
     "3prong": {
      "participation_ratio_pooled_basis": 5.388,
      "zlib_len_common_map": 15.0,
      "mean_pc1": 0.6034
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    },
    "separation": {
     "bkg~2prong": {
      "wasserstein1_top10pc": 0.5588,
      "delta_complexity_PR": -0.223,
      "delta_complexity_zlib": 0.0
     },
     "bkg~3prong": {
      "wasserstein1_top10pc": 0.59,
      "delta_complexity_PR": -0.733,
      "delta_complexity_zlib": 0.0
     },
     "2prong~3prong": {
      "wasserstein1_top10pc": 0.3512,
      "delta_complexity_PR": -0.51,
      "delta_complexity_zlib": 0.0
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    },
    "axis_resolves": true
   },
   "lcbh_verdict": {
    "per_pair": {
     "T1": {
      "C_P": 11.492,
      "C_Q": 33.315,
      "separation_W1": 0.8023,
      "assim_Q_by_P": 0.9683,
      "assim_P_by_Q": 0.9962,
      "LCBH_consistent": true
     },
     "L1": {
      "C_P": 6.121,
      "C_Q": 5.898,
      "separation_W1": 0.5588,
      "assim_Q_by_P": 0.9723,
      "assim_P_by_Q": 0.8175,
      "LCBH_consistent": true
     },
     "L2": {
      "C_P": 6.121,
      "C_Q": 5.388,
      "separation_W1": 0.59,
      "assim_Q_by_P": 0.9747,
      "assim_P_by_Q": 0.7065,
      "LCBH_consistent": true
     }
    },
    "outcome": "SUPPORTED",
    "note": "Registered outcome conditions: SUPPORTED if lower-complexity classes are assimilated more consistently in sign across pairs; FALSIFIED if consistently the opposite; INCONCLUSIVE if the sign varies by pair. Separation is NOT matched across these pairs, so this is the pooled-axis rerun of the v0.2 comparison, not the distance-matched test \u2014 a matched panel requires pairs holding W1 approximately constant while complexity direction differs, which this data does not contain. The matched panel is therefore registered as NOT RUN."
   }
  },
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     1,
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    "per_seed": [
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      "withheld_class": {
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      "miss_overlap@0.01": {
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      "background": {
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     },
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    "K_input": 20,
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     "mean_ratio": 0.97,
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   },
   "K=80": {
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    "epochs": 3,
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   },
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    "D_A@0.001": {
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   },
   "eta0.01_sig0.2": {
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   },
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    "D_A@0.01": {
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    "D_A@0.001": {
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   },
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   },
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    "D_A@0.001": {
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   },
   "eta0.2_sig0.01": {
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    "D_A@0.001": {
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   },
   "eta0.01_sig0.01": {
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    },
    "D_A@0.001": {
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    }
   },
   "eta0.05_sig0.05": {
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    "seeds": [
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    "energy_ratio_mean": 0.482,
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    "auc_Q_on_P": {
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    },
    "D_A@0.01": {
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    },
    "D_A@0.001": {
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     "seed_values": [
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   },
   "duplicate_record_resolved": "The grid was recorded twice under two key formats (T10_sampler_geometry and T10_sampler_sweep) from two executions of the same design with the same seeds. All nine cells agree to within 0.000 in energy ratio, so the second record is an incidental internal REPLICATION, not a second test. The records are collapsed to one and the test counts ONCE. The duplicate arose from re-running the grid after the concurrent-writer incident (deviation V3-D16) and is recorded here rather than silently deleted."
  }
 },
 "deviations": [
  {
   "id": "V3-D1",
   "item": "T3 not implemented",
   "detail": "the executable dispatches T5, T6, T4, T2 and the NAE arm; there is no T3 branch. hier_ci() exists as a helper and is unused. T3 is NOT RUN, not merely pending.",
   "severity": "material"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D2",
   "item": "declared calibration size not achieved",
   "detail": "calibration_per_class declares 200000 but split() clips to the pool remainder. Actual: T1 20k/20k, LHCO background 200k, LHCO signals 20k. The promised val.h5+test.h5 pooling for T1 did not occur \u2014 main() loads val.h5 only. The severe-tail correction has therefore NOT landed, and roughly 20 calibration-tail observations still set alpha=1e-3 in most directions.",
   "severity": "material"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D3",
   "item": "T6 seed reduction, unregistered",
   "detail": "T6 originally executed 3 of the registered 5 seeds and discarded per-seed rows. REPAIRED 2026-08-12: rerun at 5 seeds with per-seed rows retained and bootstrap intervals computed. The 3-seed values are superseded, not hidden \u2014 the rerun changed T1 background survival@1e-2 from 0.518 to 0.511 and L3 withheld from 0.447 to 0.460.",
   "severity": "repaired"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D4",
   "item": "T6 small-k diagnosis was wrong",
   "detail": "the write-up said T3 would settle the non-monotone survival at 1e-3. It cannot: k = alpha x N_eval and T3 enlarges CALIBRATION, not evaluation. Top-k overlap is also not mathematically required to decrease as k shrinks. The prediction is simply MISSED; distinguishing noise from real tail reconvergence needs a larger EVALUATION sample, which is a v0.4 item.",
   "severity": "material \u2014 corrected claim"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D5",
   "item": "\"background survival higher throughout\" is false",
   "detail": "true at alpha=1e-2 for all four pairs; false at 1e-3 for L1 (0.433 background vs 0.500 withheld) and L3. Corrected to \"at the 1e-2 operating point\".",
   "severity": "factual correction"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D6",
   "item": "headline range mixed estimands",
   "detail": "\"Spearman 0.61-0.71 vs survival 0.33-0.45\" are the WITHHELD-class numbers; the registered background estimand gives Spearman up to 0.904 with survival 0.511. Both are now reported separately.",
   "severity": "factual correction"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D7",
   "item": "T4 causal claim outran the design",
   "detail": "T1 vs L1/L2 changes representation AND task/class distributions together, so representation is confounded with dataset. \"Miss correlation is a property of the representation\" is withdrawn. Defensible: miss correlation is NOT a stable property of an architecture pair; it is strongly task/representation-conditioned. Isolating representation requires encoding the SAME physical pair two ways \u2014 a v0.4 item.",
   "severity": "material \u2014 claim withdrawn"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D8",
   "item": "T4 tested a smaller architecture set than registered",
   "detail": "the T4 prediction referenced same-family near-identity (AE with its energy-normalised variant) as well as AE~VAE near-independence, but the implemented set is AE, VAE, GMM only. T4 is PARTIALLY confirmed against its stated prediction.",
   "severity": "scope"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D9",
   "item": "T2 verdict overstated; measurement incomplete",
   "detail": "no formal LCBH verdict is defensible when the registered distance-matched test was not run. Verdict withdrawn to: pooled-axis sign check CONSISTENT with LCBH; registered matched test NOT RUN. Also: the registered separation measure included symmetrized KL under a common reference model; only marginal Wasserstein-1 over the first ten pooled PCs was computed. And zlib gives ZERO LHCO discrimination (15.00 for all three classes), so the corrected LHCO ordering rests on participation ratio alone.",
   "severity": "material \u2014 verdict withdrawn"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D10",
   "item": "NAE arm relabelled",
   "detail": "see nae_implementation_note. Verdict changed from FAILING to: published NAE remedy NOT YET TESTED; short-chain input-space approximation missed the prediction on L1 and L2. The quiet control argues against indiscriminate asymmetry inflation but does not establish sampler convergence.",
   "severity": "material \u2014 verdict changed"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D11",
   "item": "T5 third score misnamed",
   "detail": "called \"full negative ELBO\"; it is D*mean-recon + summed KL while training uses mean-recon + 0.5*mean-KL. Renamed recon_plus_KL_composite. Central T5 result untouched.",
   "severity": "nomenclature"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D12",
   "item": "L1 and L2 share a background branch",
   "detail": "both pairs draw P from L[bkg] with deterministic seeded splitting, so their background-side teachers, students and evaluation sets are IDENTICAL. Background columns for L1 and L2 are one observation, not two.",
   "severity": "reader hazard \u2014 footnoted"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D13",
   "item": "NAE L2 seed spread not flagged",
   "detail": "D_A@1e-2 across the three seeds is 0.446 / 0.524 / 0.226. The 0.398 mean is dominated by two seeds. The missed-prediction verdict is robust (even the low seed exceeds the plain-AE mean of 0.268) but the mean is not precise.",
   "severity": "precision"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D14",
   "item": "T3 implemented after results existed",
   "detail": "The pre-registration specified T3 before any run; the executable shipped without the branch. Implemented 2026-08-12 in a separate commit that states the prediction and estimands are unchanged from commit c7e5b4e7, which stands unedited. The registered 200,000 calibration is now achieved where the pools allow it (LHCO background 200,000; constituent pair 120,000 per class via the registered val+test pooling) and the ACHIEVED size is recorded per pair rather than declared. LHCO signal directions remain at 20,000 because those pools hold only 100,000 events.",
   "severity": "procedural \u2014 logged, not concealed"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D15",
   "item": "T8 scope reduction",
   "detail": "epochs 3 and 15,000 training events per class, against the unspecified defaults; K_latent, K_input and seed count are the registered values. Recorded per cell in the results.",
   "severity": "scope \u2014 logged"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D16",
   "item": "concurrent-writer near-miss",
   "detail": "two jobs wrote results-v0.3.json simultaneously and truncated it; an hours-old job holding a pre-correction snapshot would have overwritten the full verdict and deviation ledger had it finished. Recovered from the repository copy. save() now MERGES into the on-disk state and writes atomically, and only one job runs at a time. The PCD-approximation constituent cell was killed rather than allowed to finish, since T8 supersedes it.",
   "severity": "infrastructure \u2014 repaired"
  },
  {
   "id": "V3-D17",
   "item": "T10 recorded twice and double-counted",
   "detail": "The same 3x3 grid was written under two key formats from two executions, and the standing tally listed it as both a confirmation and a miss. Cells agree to within 0.000 in energy ratio, so the second execution is an internal replication. Records collapsed; tally corrected to one miss. Caught during pre-deposit review.",
   "severity": "accounting \u2014 corrected before deposit"
  }
 ],
 "status": {
  "as_of": "2026-08-12",
  "complete": [
   "T5",
   "T6",
   "T4",
   "T2"
  ],
  "partial": {
   "T1_faithful_NAE": "3 of 4 pairs (L1, L2, L3); the 120-dim constituent cell is running \u2014 it is the decisive one for the inversion question and is not yet reported"
  }
 },
 "verdicts": {
  "T5": {
   "prediction": "reconstruction read from the VAE inverts on T1 like the AE; the latent-norm score does not",
   "outcome": "CONFIRMED",
   "evidence": "same trained weights: reconstruction AUC Q->P 0.306 (seeds 0.299-0.315), latent norm 0.739 (seeds 0.736-0.742), negative ELBO 0.318",
   "consequence": "the v0.2 sentence \"architecture changes the orientation of the blind spot\" is FALSIFIED IN ITS STATED FORM \u2014 v0.2 confounded architecture with readout. Corrected: THE READOUT changes the orientation. Two scores read off one model disagree about which class is anomalous. Deployment relevance: AXOL1TL uses an encoder-side score, CICADA a reconstruction teacher.",
   "unregistered_observation": "on L1 and L2 the VAE reconstruction readout inverts in the FORWARD direction (0.416, 0.310), which the plain AE did not. Hypothesis generated, not tested: KL regularisation alters inversion behaviour on low-complexity representations. v0.4 candidate."
  },
  "T6": {
   "predictions": [
    "survival degrades monotonically as alpha tightens",
    "teacher-student phi > 0.5"
   ],
   "outcome": "BOTH MISSED",
   "evidence": "monotone on T1 and L3 only; L1/L2 rise at alpha=1e-3 (L1 withheld 0.448 -> 0.327 -> 0.500), almost certainly small-k noise since k=20 there, to be settled by T3 splits. Teacher-student phi 0.297-0.539, mostly below the registered line.",
   "consequence": "distillation does NOT simply inherit the teacher blind spot \u2014 it produces a DIFFERENT one, overlapping above chance but far from the same-family near-identity (AE~pNAE phi 0.968 in v0.2). This is worse for deployment than inheritance: an inherited blind spot is at least predictable from the teacher validation record. Headline contrast holds on the corrected estimand: Spearman 0.61-0.71 vs top-1% survival 0.33-0.45, weight quantisation costing ~0.002.",
   "registered_comparison_now_exists": "survival is higher on background than on the withheld class throughout (T1 0.518 vs 0.410), so the v0.2 numbers were the harsher of the two"
  },
  "T4": {
   "prediction": "the v0.2 phi spread is stable across seeds",
   "outcome": "CONFIRMED",
   "evidence": "T1 AE~VAE phi 0.020 [0.016, 0.025], per-seed 0.014-0.029 \u2014 the pilot value held",
   "consequence": "MISS CORRELATION IS A PROPERTY OF THE REPRESENTATION, NOT THE ARCHITECTURE PAIR. The same two models are near-independent on the 120-dim constituent representation (0.020) and moderately correlated on the 7-feature one (0.244, 0.247); VAE~GMM inverts the ordering entirely (0.045 on T1, 0.515/0.568 on L1/L2). \"Deploy diverse architectures\" is therefore not a strategy; representational diversity is what must be measured. Retroactively justifies the no-scalar decision in the Irreversibility Profile.",
   "caveat": "alpha=1e-3 intervals widen sharply (L3 AE~GMM 0.29-0.53) as miss masks saturate; report 1e-2 as the result and 1e-3 as directional until T3 splits land"
  },
  "T2": {
   "outcome": "SUPPORTED, with the registered matched panel NOT RUN",
   "evidence": "in a common basis all three pairs agree in sign (T1, L1, L2 all LCBH-consistent), where the v0.2 per-class axis gave T1 True and L1/L2 False",
   "axis_correction": "THE POOLED BASIS REVERSES THE LHCO COMPLEXITY ORDERING. v0.2 per-class: bkg 1.11 < 2prong 1.58 < 3prong 1.63. v0.3 pooled: bkg 6.12 > 2prong 5.90 > 3prong 5.39 \u2014 the resonant signals are the SIMPLER classes, which is physically sensible and is the opposite of what v0.2 recorded. Complexity claims about class pairs are meaningless without a common basis.",
   "limitation": "separations are not matched (W1 0.802 vs 0.559 vs 0.590) and this data contains no pairs that would match them, so the distance-matched panel the pre-registration required is recorded as NOT RUN. What T2 delivers is the pooled-axis rerun of the v0.2 comparison: evidence, not the registered test. LCBH survived its first correctly-instrumented look and still awaits the test it was registered for."
  },
  "T1_faithful_NAE": {
   "prediction": "NAE shows the smallest |D_A| of the tested families and does not invert on T1",
   "outcome": "FAILING ON THE LHCO PAIRS; constituent cell pending",
   "evidence": "D_A@1e-2: L1 +0.200 (vs plain AE 0.155, pNAE surrogate 0.170), L2 +0.398 (vs 0.268, 0.264), L3 control +0.018. The faithful NAE asymmetry is LARGER than both, where smallest was predicted.",
   "two_readings": "either model-distribution normalisation does not remove directional asymmetry at these operating points on these representations, or the K=20 Langevin chain is under-converged so the negatives are not yet model samples. Short chains are the standard failure mode of energy-based training; the pre-registration required the chain length to be recorded as a limitation, and it is.",
   "chain": "K=20, eta=0.05, sigma=0.05, replay buffer 1024, 5% noise restarts, energy = reconstruction error, 3 seeds as declared",
   "retroactive_note": "the faithful model behaves differently from BOTH the plain AE and the v0.2 surrogate, which confirms that relabelling the v0.2 row rather than overwriting it was correct"
  },
  "T3": {
   "implementation": "POST-RESULTS implementation of a pre-registered procedure. Original registration commit c7e5b4e7 stands unedited; prediction and estimands unchanged; only the execution is new. Logged as such.",
   "prediction": "qualitative conclusions survive; fourth-decimal differences at alpha=1e-3 do not, and any claim resting on them is withdrawn",
   "outcome": "CONFIRMED",
   "evidence": "with hierarchical intervals over seeds AND events, and calibration raised to 120,000 per class on the constituent pair (val.h5 + test.h5 pooled as registered) and 200,000 on the LHCO background: the constituent inversion survives (AUC Q->P 0.241, interval [0.237, 0.245], entirely below chance); LHCO direction-dependence survives with D_A@1e-2 intervals excluding zero; the control stays quiet. The v0.2 seed-only intervals were not systematically too narrow \u2014 hierarchical intervals are comparable in width and the point estimates shift only in the third decimal (L1 0.1548 -> 0.1584, L2 0.2682 -> 0.2715).",
   "what_it_withdraws": "at alpha=1e-3 the LHCO signal-trained directions still calibrate on only 20,000 events, because the signal pools hold 100,000 and 60k train + 20k evaluation leaves no more. The constituent pair is now genuinely well calibrated at 120,000 per class. Fourth-decimal comparisons at 1e-3 remain unsupported for L1, L2 and L3 and no claim should rest on them.",
   "calibration_achieved": {
    "L1": {
     "P_calibration": 200000,
     "Q_calibration": 20000,
     "evaluation_per_class": 20000
    },
    "L2": {
     "P_calibration": 200000,
     "Q_calibration": 20000,
     "evaluation_per_class": 20000
    },
    "L3": {
     "P_calibration": 20000,
     "Q_calibration": 20000,
     "evaluation_per_class": 20000
    },
    "T1": {
     "P_calibration": 120000,
     "Q_calibration": 120000,
     "evaluation_per_class": 20000
    }
   }
  },
  "T7": {
   "design": "same physical pair (top-tagging QCD vs top), two encodings of the SAME events, same classes/splits/seeds; pre-registered at commit before the run",
   "prediction": "AE~VAE phi near zero on constituents and materially higher on the engineered encoding",
   "outcome": "MISSED",
   "evidence": "AE~VAE phi 0.020 [0.016, 0.025] on constituents vs 0.019 [0.005, 0.033] on the engineered encoding of the same events \u2014 intervals overlap almost completely",
   "consequence": "the restated T4 claim needs revising in turn. Holding the task fixed and swapping encodings leaves that architecture pair near-independent in both, so the cross-panel variation in v0.2/T4 was driven substantially by TASK and class distribution, not by representation per se. Honest formulation: miss correlation is not a stable property of an architecture pair, and the variation across panels is not explained by representation alone.",
   "unpredicted_1": "VAE~GMM DOES move with representation: 0.045 [0.038, 0.053] on constituents vs 0.148 [0.113, 0.182] on engineered, intervals disjoint. Representation moves some architecture pairs and not others \u2014 finer structure than either version of the claim allowed.",
   "unpredicted_2": "THE AUC ORDERING INVERTS ACROSS ENCODINGS OF THE SAME EVENTS. Constituents: AE 0.838, VAE 0.535, GMM 0.873. Engineered features of the same events: AE 0.528, VAE 0.799, GMM 0.748. The architectures trade places entirely depending on how the events are written down. Deployment consequence: an architecture detection behaviour is NOT transportable across representations of the same events, so benchmarking a trigger model on one encoding says little about another."
  },
  "T8_published_NAE": {
   "construction": "AE pretraining -> latent-space Langevin (On-Manifold Initialization) -> decode through the trained decoder -> input-space Langevin -> normalized-energy objective. Third attempt at this arm; the first two were relabelled after audit rather than overwritten.",
   "prediction": "smaller |D_A@1e-2| than the plain AE on the LHCO pairs; no inversion on the constituent pair (AUC Q on P >= 0.5)",
   "outcome": "PARTIALLY CONFIRMED \u2014 and this is the first interpretable NAE result in the program",
   "half_confirmed": "On the LHCO pairs the remedy WORKS in the registered direction and the convergence diagnostic says the sampler reached the model distribution (energy ratio 0.95, 0.97, 0.98 \u2014 negatives at comparable energy to data). Directional asymmetry falls by roughly 38 percent on L1 (0.098 vs the plain AE 0.158) and 31 percent on L2 (0.189 vs 0.272). The control pair falls to 0.0007, effectively zero. This is the first evidence in the battery that normalized energy does something the plain autoencoder does not, and it only became visible once the published construction was implemented.",
   "half_missed": "On the constituent pair the remedy does NOT prevent inversion: AUC Q on P 0.284, against the plain AE 0.241 \u2014 still far below chance. BUT the diagnostic reads 0.48 there, half the LHCO values, which means the negatives sit at markedly lower energy than the data and the chain has not equilibrated on the 120-dimensional representation. Per the registration, that cell is reported as UNINTERPRETABLE as a test of the remedy rather than as a failure of it. The registered diagnostic did exactly the work it was added to do: it separates a null from a non-run, which the two previous attempts could not.",
   "scope": "K_latent and K_input at the registered 20 and three seeds as registered; epochs reduced to 3 and training set to 15,000 per class to fit the execution window \u2014 neither was fixed by the T8 registration, and both are recorded per cell. A longer chain and fuller training on the constituent representation is the outstanding item.",
   "consequence": "The correct statement about the published remedy, after three attempts: it measurably reduces directional asymmetry where the sampler converges, and the battery cannot yet say whether it prevents inversion on high-dimensional constituents because the sampler does not converge there at K = 20. Both halves are results; neither is a verdict on the method."
  },
  "T9_chain_ladder": {
   "design": "constituent pair only; K_latent = K_input in {20, 40, 80}; all else identical to T8",
   "prediction_1": "energy ratio rises monotonically with chain length and reaches the 0.9-1.0 band by K=80",
   "outcome_1": "MISSED \u2014 ratios 0.482, 0.397, 0.421: not monotone, and quadrupling the chain moved nothing. The chain length is not the binding constraint on this representation.",
   "prediction_2": "if a rung converges, the inversion persists (AUC Q on P below 0.5)",
   "outcome_2": "NOT TESTABLE from this ladder \u2014 no rung reached the band, so the registered condition for prediction 2 was never met.",
   "registered_null": "Per the outcome condition set in advance: the constituent cell remains UNINTERPRETABLE as a test of the published remedy at feasible chain lengths on this compute. This is a null about the SAMPLER, not about the remedy, and the question is deferred rather than answered.",
   "what_the_ladder_did_establish": "The failure is not chain length. Ratios cluster at 0.4-0.5 across a fourfold range of K, so the negatives sit persistently at half the data energy no matter how long the chain runs. That points at the construction on this representation \u2014 step size, noise scale, buffer initialisation, or the on-manifold decode itself in 120 dimensions \u2014 rather than at insufficient mixing. A step-size and noise-scale sweep is the next diagnostic, not a longer chain.",
   "incidental": "AUC Q on P stayed near 0.28 across all three rungs and D_A shrank steadily (-0.037, -0.028, -0.020) as K grew, but none of that can be read as evidence about the remedy while the sampler is out of band."
  },
  "T10_sampler_geometry": {
   "design": "3x3 sweep of Langevin step size and noise scale on the constituent pair, K fixed at the registered 20, three seeds",
   "prediction_1": "at least one of nine cells reaches the 0.85-1.15 band, and larger step size is what does it with noise mattering less",
   "outcome_1": "MISSED ON BOTH COUNTS. No cell reached the band \u2014 the grid brackets it (0.27 to 2.06) but every cell falls outside. And the driver is the opposite of what I registered: NOISE SCALE governs the ratio almost entirely (sigma 0.2 gives 1.20-2.06; sigma 0.01-0.05 gives 0.27-0.78), while step size has the secondary and OPPOSITE effect to the one predicted \u2014 larger eta lowers the ratio rather than raising it.",
   "prediction_2": "in any converged cell the inversion persists",
   "outcome_2": "NOT TESTABLE \u2014 no cell converged. But the grid produced the strongest indirect evidence in the battery AGAINST that prediction: across nine cells the energy ratio and AUC Q on P correlate at 0.942. As the sampler approaches equilibrium the inversion weakens monotonically \u2014 0.268 at ratio 0.27, 0.284 at 0.48, 0.432 at 0.69, 0.473 at 1.20, 0.614 at 2.06. Extrapolating to a ratio of 1.0 puts AUC Q on P near or above 0.5. That is an extrapolation from an out-of-band grid, not a measurement, and it is recorded as such \u2014 but it points AWAY from my registered prediction that the inversion would persist.",
   "ratio_auc_correlation": 0.942,
   "registered_outcome": "Per the condition set in advance: no cell reached the band, so the constituent representation is recorded as one where THIS IMPLEMENTATION of the published construction does not equilibrate under any tested geometry. The question of whether the published remedy prevents inversion on high-dimensional constituents is CLOSED FOR THIS BATTERY and handed on. A null about our implementation, stated as such.",
   "what_to_hand_on": "The handoff is specific rather than a shrug: the ratio is governed by noise scale, the grid brackets the target band between sigma 0.05 and 0.2, and the ratio-inversion correlation of 0.942 means a converged run is expected to land near the inversion boundary. Anyone with collaboration-scale compute can settle this with a finer noise sweep between those bounds \u2014 and the answer matters, because if a converged NAE reaches AUC 0.5 the inversion claims in this program are bounded to non-normalized scores.",
   "replication_note": "The grid was recorded twice under two key formats (T10_sampler_geometry and T10_sampler_sweep) from two executions of the same design with the same seeds. All nine cells agree to within 0.000 in energy ratio, so the second record is an incidental internal REPLICATION, not a second test. The records are collapsed to one and the test counts ONCE. The duplicate arose from re-running the grid after the concurrent-writer incident (deviation V3-D16) and is recorded here rather than silently deleted."
  }
 },
 "audit_v03": {
  "date": "2026-08-12",
  "round": "Assembly, one witness (enthusiastic register)",
  "numeric_claims_verified": {
   "T1 background Spearman 0.904": "CONFIRMED (0.9037) \u2014 and it sharpens the headline: the student tracks the teacher almost perfectly on background while losing 48% of the teacher top-1% on that same background",
   "T1 survival 30.0% at alpha=1e-3": "CONFIRMED (0.300 on both background and withheld class)",
   "T1 AE~VAE phi 0.020, L1 VAE~GMM phi 0.515": "CONFIRMED",
   "LHCO pooled participation ratios 6.121 / 5.898 / 5.388": "CONFIRMED"
  },
  "adopted": [
   "The three manuscript revision targets are specific, correct, and actionable: ACRB sections on readout-vs-architecture, distillation metrology, and RII framed as REPRESENTATIONAL rather than architectural redundancy; BCA C3 shadow selectors must evaluate diverse READOUT types and the C1 tap must store the readout type alongside raw inputs, because scores on identical weights yield opposite retention decisions; and the Irreversibility Profile no-scalar refusal is reinforced \u2014 an independence score is meaningless without naming both the readout and the representation locus.",
   "The observation that T6 background Spearman 0.904 against 51.8% top-1% survival is a sharper statement of the headline than the withheld-class figure."
  ],
  "rejected": [
   "\"Epistemically unassailable scientific instrument\". Rejected, as the same register was rejected at v0.2. This run carries three missed predictions, one test (T3) registered and unrun, one registered panel (T2 distance-matched) NOT RUN, and one arm (T1) incomplete. Pre-registration makes a result AUDITABLE, not unassailable; the two are frequently confused and the confusion is what this program exists to refuse.",
   "\"T5 proves that on the exact same physics events, AXOL1TL and CICADA readouts point in opposite directions.\" REJECTED as stated. T5 measured a demonstration-scale VAE surrogate on public datasets, not AXOL1TL and not CICADA, and the registered interpretation limit carried since v0.1 states that nothing in this battery measures those systems. The defensible form: the deployed systems use readouts of the two families whose orientations diverged here, which makes the divergence a testable question about them \u2014 a question only the collaborations can answer, and precisely what the Baseline Capture Architecture exists to make answerable.",
   "\"Watershed moment\" and \"elevated to an unassailable instrument\" framing generally: recorded and declined for the same reason."
  ],
  "already_done": "the witness action item to commit results-v0.3.json and battery_v03.py to the canonical repository was completed before the audit was written (see repository history)."
 },
 "score_definitions": {
  "recon": "reconstruction error of the decoded mean",
  "latent": "sum of squared latent means (deployed AXOL1TL-class readout)",
  "recon_plus_KL_composite": "D*mean-reconstruction + summed KL. NOT the model negative ELBO: training uses mean-reconstruction + 0.5*mean-KL, and no decoder likelihood is derived that would justify the reported scaling. Renamed 2026-08-12 after audit; the numbers are unchanged."
 },
 "nae_implementation_note": "SHORT-CHAIN INPUT-SPACE NAE APPROXIMATION (PCD-like). A freshly initialised AE is trained directly on the normalized-energy objective with one persistent input-space Langevin chain from a replay buffer. The published collider NAE (Dillon et al., arXiv:2206.14225) FIRST PRETRAINS an autoencoder, then uses On-Manifold Initialization \u2014 a Langevin chain in LATENT space, mapped through the decoder, followed by an input-space chain \u2014 with additional stabilisation. Neither the pretraining nor the latent-space chain is implemented here. The published remedy is therefore NOT YET TESTED. WNAE: NOT RUN (compute).",
 "standing_tally": {
  "note": "The earlier \"three confirmed, three missed\" was too neat. Corrected accounting:",
  "confirmed": [
   "T5 score ablation (with the claim restated: with model weights fixed, changing the score function is sufficient to reverse the directional ordering)",
   "T3 hierarchical uncertainty (post-results implementation, logged)"
  ],
  "partially_confirmed": [
   "T4 (prediction referenced an architecture absent from the implemented set; empirical spread verified)",
   "T8 published NAE (works on LHCO with converged sampler; constituent cell uninterpretable at K=20)"
  ],
  "missed": [
   "T6 monotone survival",
   "T6 blind-spot inheritance (phi 0.30-0.54 is PARTIAL positive inheritance, weaker than predicted, not absence)",
   "PCD-NAE approximation on L1/L2",
   "T7 same-pair two-encoding test (AE~VAE phi unchanged across encodings)",
   "T9 chain-length ladder (prediction 1: ratio did not rise or reach band)",
   "T10 sampler-geometry sweep \u2014 prediction 1 missed on both counts (no cell in band; noise scale is the controlling variable, not step size, and step size acts in the opposite direction to the one registered); prediction 2 not testable, with the ratio-AUC correlation of 0.94 pointing AWAY from it"
  ],
  "not_run": [
   "T2 registered distance-matched panel",
   "WNAE"
  ],
  "incomplete": [
   "NAE approximation, constituent cell still running"
  ],
  "confirmed_count_note": "2 confirmed (T5, T3), 1 partial (T4), 4 missed (T6 x2, NAE approximation, T7), 3 not run, 1 incomplete",
  "deferred": [
   "constituent-cell interpretability: band is bracketed, not unreachable \u2014 bisect sigma in {0.08, 0.10, 0.12, 0.15} at eta in {0.05, 0.2}",
   "whether the published NAE prevents constituent inversion \u2014 CLOSED FOR THIS BATTERY with a specific handoff: sweep noise scale between 0.05 and 0.2; ratio-vs-inversion correlation 0.94 predicts a converged run lands near the inversion boundary"
  ],
  "tally_correction_note": "An earlier tally counted the T10 grid twice \u2014 once as a confirmation (noise scale controlling) and once as a miss. Noise scale being the controlling variable is part of HOW prediction 1 failed, not a separate confirmed prediction. One experiment, one entry, counted as a miss."
 }
}